Arsenal meets Bolton in a match from the English Premier League on Saturday, September 24th 2011 at 15:00 UK Time
SkyBet has chosen Arsenal for a favourite for this match, giving the team odds of 2/5 for a victory.
This strikes me with surprise because of Arsenal’s poor performance lately, but the statistics gives you a clear picture why the odds are that low, Arsenal record at home reads W9 D3 L0 in 12 Premier League games against Bolton.
Arsenal
Arsenal started the season with a draw against Newcastle, and continued with a loss to Liverpool at home with 0:2 and a loss to United with 2:8 on Old Trafford. This is Arsenal’s worst start since 1953 and the condition of the team, does not seem to improve. Overall record of W1 D1 L3, scoring just 6 goals in 5 games, and conceding 14. Latest fixture was a visit against Blackburn, match that ended 4:3 in favor of Blackburn. During the week Arsenal played a game from Carling Cup against the League Two team Shrewsbury, who managed to open the score in the 16th minute on Emirates. Overall end result was 3:1 after Gibbs, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, and Yossi Benayoun, scored for the Gunners.
Bolton
Bolton started the season great, with a victory over QPR with 4:0, which happened to be their only one. The team recorded 4 consecutive losses since then and currently takes the 19th spot in the league with record of W1 D0 L4, scoring 8 goals in those 5 games and conceding 13. During the week Bolton recorded a victory over Aston Villa in the Carling Cup with 2:0.
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Prediction
I know it looks odd to see Arsenal getting such low odds for victory, despite their horrible performance, but wait until you see the statistics:
11/09/2010 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 4:1
20/01/2010 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 4:2
10/01/2009 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 1:0
20/10/2007 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:0
14/04/2007 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:1
11/02/2006 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 1:1
18/09/2004 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:2
20/03/2004 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:1
21/09/2002 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:1
22/09/2001 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 1:1
13/09/1997 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 4:1
04/05/1996 Premier League Arsenal vs. Bolton 2:1
Overall record here W9 D3 L0, for Arsenal, meaning that Bolton does not have a victory as a visitor against Arsenal in the history of Premier League. However Arsenal are marking their worst start in 58 years, which gives chance for Bolton to get something out of this match.
The draw and the away victory look very profitable bets, if Arsenal makes another mistake on Emirates. The draw with odds at 7/2 and the away victory with odds at 7/1 by SkyBet.
Eight of the twelve games here have ended Over 2.5 goals, which is a good indicator of a valuable bet.
Wenger and Arsenal have no room for mistakes or the season can be as well ruined from its very start. A victory here is a must, moreover Bolton are in a trouble with 4 consecutive losses in the league.
Tip #1: Back the end result of the match to be Over 2.5 Goals at 4/7 with SkyBet.
Tip #2: Back Arsenal to win this match at 2/5 with SkyBet.
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