Tip #1: Back Manchester City to win @ 2.80 with William Hill.
Tip #2: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 with William Hill
Arsenal had the worst start in Premier League this season, but are now third although with 58 points, just as much as Chelsea, and only 2 points ahead of the 5th Newcastle who have 56. Arsenal’s home record reads W11-D2-L2, and need the 3 points as a draw or a possible loss might send them out of the Top 4 teams. According to William Hill, Arsenal are a favorite to win this match with odds @ 2.50. As usual, Premier League’s top scorer Robin Van Persie is the player most likely to score first, priced @ 4.75 and to score at anytime @ 1.90. Arsenal is enjoying four consecutive victories in the last 5 home games, scoring 17 goals in those.
Last 5 Arsenal Home Matches:
24/03/2012 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Aston Villa W – 3:0
12/03/2012 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Newcastle W – 2:1
26/02/2012 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Tottenham W – 5:2
04/02/2012 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Blackburn W – 7:1
22/01/2012 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man Utd L – 1:2
Manchester Cit already slipped and is now 5 points away from Manchester United, before the big match on Emirates. The team simply cannot afford to lose points in this match or the title race is most likely over, 6 rounds before the season ends. Currently City are second with 71 points, away record W7-D4-L4, scoring 28 goals and conceding 15 in those games. Noticeable performance drop for City in the last few visits, recording a draw against Stoke City, a loss to Swansea, and a loss to Everton. City are priced to win this match @ 2.80 which seems like a valuable bet, for a team that cannot afford to lose. Balotelli is the player most likely to score first according to William Hill, priced @ 6.00 or for at anytime @ 2.30.
Last 5 Manchester City Away Matches:
24/03/2012 – Premier League – Stoke vs. Man City D – 1:1
11/03/2012 – Premier League – Swansea vs. Man City L – 1:0
12/02/2012 – Premier League – Aston Villa vs. Man City W – 0:1
31/01/2012 – Premier League – Everton vs. Man City L – 1:0
16/01/2012 – Premier League – Wigan vs. Man City W – 0:1
Last games between Arsenal and Manchester City:
05/01/2011 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man City 0:0
24/04/2010 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man City 0:0
04/04/2009 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man City 2:0
25/08/2007 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man City 1:0
17/04/2007 – Premier League – Arsenal vs. Man City 3:1
Manchester City has never won a Premier League match against Arsenal away, and their first victory on Emirates was this season in a match for Carling Cup, with 1:0. While Arsenal would not want to lose this match because they need to keep the 3rd place, Manchester City cannot afford to increase the distance to Manchester United, as this would mean end of the title race. Back Manchester City to win this match @ 2.80, trusting that Mancini’s men will do everything possible to get the 3 points.
As usual, when Manchester City and Arsenal are involved, goals are expected, especially when both teams need them and the 3 points as well. Back this match to end Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72 with William Hill.