Barcelona meets AC Milan at home, in a game from the group stage of Champions League, on September 13th 2011 at 19:45 UK time
The most anticipated match for tonight. Bet365 has prepared to refund your wager on the following markets: Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast (without Anytime Scorecast); if the match ends 0:0.
Barcelona
After crushing Villarreal with 5:0 on Camp Nou, Barcelona let the victory slip away this weekend against Real Sociedad, after leading with 2:0 on half time. There’s no doubt that the team was focused on this match, but perhaps a slight underestimation in the second half, let the game finish 2:2. A lot of the starters were left on the bench but Messi and Iniesta showed up in the second half. Overall Barcelona is still in a great shape, unbeaten in 10 Champions League home games, since that 1:2 defeat against Rubin Kazan back in 2009-10. Barcelona’s overall home record against Milan reads W2 D2 L1.
AC Milan
AC Milan started their Serie A season with a draw 2:2 against Lazio. All goals were scored between the first and the thirty third minute. AC Milan had a good pre season, recording 3 victories and 2 draws. The last time the team visited Camp Nou was in 2010, for a friendly match, a game that ended 1:1. The previous game from Champions League back in 2006, also ended draw 0:0. It’s interesting that Milan has won ALL opening games in the last ten group stage campaigns. However, the team hasn’t scored a goal in the past 3 visits in Europe and has won just 1 of the last 4 away fixtures.
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Prediction
AC Milan has achieved only one victory here back in year 2000 with 2:0 in Champions League. Since then, the team recorded a loss back in 2004 in Group F (Champions League) with 1:2 and a draw in 2006 1:1.
Around 83% of the last 10 games that AC Milan played finished Under 2.5 Goals, while the number for Barcelona is 67%. The odds for an Under 2.5 goals end result are very rewarding @ 2.50 (bet365).
According to the sportsbooks, 2-0 is the most likely result to happen, priced the lowest with odds of 7.00 (bet365). Other similar results with a bit higher odds are 1-0 @ 8.00, 3-0 @ 8.00 and 2-1 @ 8.50 (bet365).
For those looking for a demolishing victory for Barcelona the odds are quite good: 4-0 @ 13.00; 5-0 @ 23.00; 6-0 @ 41.00; 7-0 @ 81.00; 8-0 @ 201.00; (bet365)
While AC Milan is a big name in the European football, in the recent years, the team has been disappointing with its performance. Now they will face the team that’s considered the strongest team in the world. Nevertheless I expect an interesting match, but with a few goals.
My prediction, Barcelona to win with a minimal advantage, hence the match to end Under 2.5 goals.
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