Although Chelsea won their last home game few days ago against Bolton with 1:0, no one was impressed with their performance. The team still faces issues and will have to meet another team with even bigger issues Aston Villa.
Villa has failed to win in the last 7 away games, recording 1 draw and 6 losses. In those six losses Villa has also failed to score in 4 games. Currently the team is taking the 15th spot with 20 points in 19 games, away record of W1 D1 L7, scoring 5 and conceding 22 goals in those games. Aston Villa has won none and lost six of the last eight Premier League games here on Stamford Bridge. Last season’s loss here was one of the biggest: 7:1.
Last victory for Villa here dates 11/05/2002, when they won with 3:1. Since then the team has recorded 7 losses and 2 draw games.
Chelsea started the season very well scoring 12 goals in the first 2 games but now things do not look good. In the last 7 games, Chelsea recorded 1 victory, which occurred few days ago, 3 draws and 3 losses. The team is currently 4th with 34 points in 19 games, home record of W7 D1 L1, scoring 19 goals and conceding 4, in those games, 3 of which came in the loss against Sunderland with 0:3. This means that only two teams have been able to score here this season in 9 games.
Bet online with Ladbrokes – 10£ FREE BET
Eleven of the eighteen games that these two teams have played since 1994, have ended Under 2.5 Goals. The bet is priced at 2.30 which makes it valuable. However 3 of the last 4 games here have ended Over 2.5 Goals, which is priced at 1.60. In fact two of the games ended with 8 goals in them.
Chelsea has won 5 games on this stadium against Villa with the precise score of 1:0. To be honest considering Chelsea’s trouble to score lately and Villa’s problems this outcome is very possible, priced at 6.50 for this game.
It’s logical to back Chelsea here as they have no room for mistakes anymore, but the odds for the home victory are only 1.25. An Asian Handicap of -1.5 will raise your home victory odds to 1.80. I’d like to believe that Chelsea finally got on the right track with that last home victory, but at this point is still to early to tell.
I think that I’d take the risk here to go for that Under 2.5 Goals bet. If Chelsea managed to get out of the hole they were in, obviously I will be wrong, but since nothing can confirm that for now I think it’s your best bet in this game.
Recommended Bet:
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.30 (Bet365)
(Place your bet in BET365.COM)
