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After Arsenal failed to win the away visit against Newcastle, and Manchester United recorded their first Premier League loss in the season, Chelsea has the chance to take advantage and move closer to the top spots if they manage to beat Liverpool.

Currently Chelsea are 4th with 44 points in 24 games, home record of W8 D2 L1, scoring 24 goals and conceding only 7, 3 of which came in a single game against Sunderland. After series of bad results at home and away, Chelsea recorded 2 victories on Stamford Bridge, 7:0 against Ipswich for the FA Cup, and 2:0 against Blackburn in the Premier League. The team also bought Fernando Torres from Liverpool for 50 million pounds.

Liverpool are currently 7th with 35 points in 25 games, away record of W2 D2 L8, scoring 11 goals and conceding 21. The team bought Luis Suarez and Andy Carroll during the winter transfer window, and Suarez debuted with a goal against Stoke City. Liverpool won their second away game last visit against Wolverhampton with 3:0, and already beat Chelsea this season at home.

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Chelsea’s record on Stamford Bridge, since 1999 against Liverpool reads, W12 D4 L2 in all competitions. An interesting fact is that each of the last 4 premier league games between both teams have ended 2:0.

The Under 2.5 Goals bet is priced at 1.85 if you think a 5th consecutive 2:0 can occur here as well.

Didier Drogba and Fernando Torres are priced to score with the same odds of 2.20, while Liverpool’s new weapon Luis Suarez at 3.10.

Although Chelsea is considered the favorite in this game, I am willing to back the double chance bet on draw or Liverpool to win for a few reasons. First, Liverpool is clearly trying to change what has happened to the team in the past year and a half. A change in the management and a change in the squad are sure to do it. Meanwhile Chelsea has shown weakness during the last months, and although the team bounced back recently with 2 victories, they have been still unconvincing, when we exclude the Ipswich game. My predictions is that Liverpool will do their best to win this match, and in the worst scenario will go home with a point.

Recommended Bet:

Draw or Liverpool to win @ 2.25 (Bet365)
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