Tip #1: Back the match to end Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 with Bet365.
Tip #2: Back Draw No Bet Chelsea @ 1.61 with Bet365
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Match Preview
Everton
Everton has starting to win games, with their most recent home victory over Manchester City, two weeks ago. The team is currently on the 11th position with 30 points, a home record W4 D3 L5, scoring 12 goals and conceding 13 in those 12 games. New players in the team, from the January transfer window: Darron Gibson from Manchester United and Steven Pienaar from Tottenham on loan, as well as Nikica Jelavic from Rangers. Everton has won a total of 4 games at home this season, 3 of those came in the last 5 home matches. The home victory is priced here with very reasonable odds @ 3.30. Last season, Everton won the game against Chelsea here with 1-0, a victory with the same score is priced @ 9.00 today. Everton’s most recent scorer Darron Gibson has great odds to score again at anytime in this match @ 9.50. The new transfer Nikica Jelavic is priced to score first @ 7.50 and at anytime @ 3.10.
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Chelsea
Chelsea has not won a game in 3 weeks, recording 3 consecutive draw games and is now in great danger of losing the 4th spot. The team is currently with 43 points in 24 games, away record W5 D5 L2, scoring 17 goals and conceding 10 in those 12 games. The absence of Didier Drogba and Salomon Kalou seems noticeable, and Chelsea can’t find the way to get a victory. One point ahead of Newcastle and three ahead of Arsenal will not be enough, if the team continues to disappoint with performance. Villas-Boas cannot find the right rhythm of his club, and who knows if he will continue to lead after this season. As a favorite of the sportsbooks to score first is Daniel Sturridge who’s priced at 6.50 as a first goalscorer and at 2.75 to score anytime. The worst transfer of 2011 Fernando Torres has identical odds, but for a man who has scored only 3 times in Premier League since his transfer last year, that’s very unlikely to happen.
Prediction
Recent games between Everton and Chelsea:
22/05/2011 Premier League Everton vs. Chelsea 1:0
10/02/2010 Premier League Everton vs. Chelsea 2:1
22/12/2008 Premier League Everton vs. Chelsea 0:0
17/04/2008 Premier League Everton vs. Chelsea 0:1
17/12/2006 Premier League Everton vs. Chelsea 2:3
Besides Chelsea’s poor shape, their performance on Goodison Park, isn’t that great either in the recent years. A total of 8 victories here, the last one coming far back in 2008. 13 out of the 19 games here have ended Under 2.5 Goals, 6 of those in the last 7 fixtures. Back this match to end Under 2.5 goals as well @ 1.70 with bet365.
Chelsea has to win this match if they want to keep the 4th place. However due to their inconsistency in performance, as a precaution you can take the Draw No Bet Chelsea priced @ 1.61 giving you and additional +0.05 juice on your odds.
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