FC Porto meets Shakhtar Donetsk on September 13th 2011 at 19:45 UK time, in the first match from the group stage of Champions League 2011-12
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FC Porto
Last year’s Portuguese champions finished the season without a single loss in the Zon Liga Sagres. However the team did record a loss in Europa League, in a game that did not matter. During the summer, Porto’s manager Andres Villas Boas, moved to Chelsea, while top scorer Falcao was sold to Atletico Madrid. Without their striker and brilliant manager, FC Porto lost its perfection from last season. Despite that, FC Porto won all 4 games in Portugal so far, but lost the UEFA Super Cup to Barcelona with 0:2. The team bought the Brazilian midfielder Danilo from Santos for €13m.Porto’s record against Ukrainian teams reads W2 D0 L1 at home.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar had quite a season last year in Champions League, topping the group with 15 points, 3 points in front of Arsenal. Round of 16 was surpassed easily against Roma, where the team won both games, 3:2 in Italy and 3:0 at home. Unfortunately in the quarter-finals Shakhtar faced Barcelona, was crushed the first game on Camp Nou with 5:1 and then took a minimal loss in Ukraine with 0:1. Despite that the team played very well, but missed very good chances to score. The team is first in the Ukrainian Premier League so far this season, having recorded 7 victories and 2 draws. Shakhtar has a good experience against Portuguese teams, record of W3 D0 L2 in Portugal.
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Prediction
Sportsbooks appoint FC Porto for a favorite in this match, but I disagree. Back in 1983/84, FC Porto and Shakhtar met in UEFA Winner’s Cup quarter-final where Porto where down 2-0 and won the game at home with 3:2.
Shakhtar has started the last 4 European tournament competitions with victories, 2 home and 2 away. I believe the team has been very underestimated here which gives the punters great chance for high odds.
The draw is priced at 3.65, while the away victory at 5.25 (Intertops).
The Under 2.5 goals bet and the Over 2.5 Goals bet have similar odds priced @ 1.90 and 1.85 (Intertops).
Value bet on this game would be the away victory for Shakhtar @ 5.25. If you are looking for surprises this is your match.
My prediction is that we are going to see a good amount of goals in this match, as both teams seem to score a lot and/or receive a good amount of goals in their net.
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