Twente meets Villarreal in a return match from the Europa League quarter finals on Thursday.
The first game in Spain ended 5:1 in favor of the yellow submarine and Villarreal is comfortably looking at the semi-finals at this point.
However it seemed like Villarreal is entirely focused on this upcoming match, during the weekend, when they played against Valencia, and lost 0:5. The battle for the third spot has been pretty much decided and Villarreal will most likely remain on their forth position. Villarreal has played seven matches against teams for Netherlands, recording 4 victories, 2 draws and a single loss overall, but 2 victories, a draw and zero losses on a Dutch soil. Villarreal remain unbeaten in the last 7 European games, since their loss to PAOK with 0:1.
Twente has to do something that only 3 teams have ever done, to overcome a difference of 4 goals. (Leixões SC, FK Partizan, Real Madrid). The team drew their game on the weekend against Roda JC at home 1:1, and are expected to try winning this game no matter if they qualify or not. The stats are on their side, as Twente has faced Spanish teams six times, recording 3 victories and 3 losses, but all of those 3 victories were at home.
Twente are unbeaten in 6 home games, recording 4 victories and 2 draws. Because of the score from the first leg, this game seems as unpredictable as any other that ended the same way. Why?
The winning bonus in terms of money in Europa League are so small, that they can barely motivate any team to put an effort and win a game just for the money. A victory in the first leg with 5:1 gives you the ability to think about the semi-finals, and even a small loss of 0:1, 0:2 will guarantee you advancing in the next round. In the same time, if you have discouraged your opponent in the first leg, you might easily beat them in the second. The third scenario would be that both teams have accepted what would happen and don’t put any effort in the game and it ends draw.
All of those have an equal chance of coming out true so you have to pick one. I would personally back Villarreal in this game, because of their overwhelming dominance in the first game. The team didn’t just get lucky or scored bunch of goals from a total of five six attacks, but controlled the ball and the direction of the game, each and every minute of the match. Twente has been great this season for the most part, but I think they have met their match in the face of Villarreal. Good luck betting.
Recommended Bet:
Villarreal to win @ 3.20 
Bet at Bet365 Now
