The battle for the second spot in group K will be between Napoli and Steaua Bucharest.
The first game ended 3:3 in Romania, after the host Steaua lead by 3 goals in the first 16 minutes, but then let the visitors get to the draw in the 91st minute when the score was 3:2.
Currently Steaua are second with 6 points with W1 D3 L1 in all games, losing 1 and drawing 1 away from home. Napoli are third with 4 points and a chance to qualify for the next stage of the tournament only if they win the game.
The team has lost only 1 game in 5 matches but has tied the other 4. The Italians haven’t won a game yet in the group stage, and it has to be done this game in order to advance.In case the game ends draw and Utrecht wins against Liverpool, Steaua still qualifies since in the direct games they have a victory and a draw against the team from the Netherlands.
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The bookmakers appoint Napoli as a total favorite here, giving them a price of 1.36 for a victory. If you trust them enough, this can be your banker for the night. Steaua’s record against Italian teams is W0 D5 L7 (W0 D2 L4 in Italy), perhaps this is the reason behind the low odds.
However a draw here will be a good thing for them since it will qualify them, priced at 4.50, risky but rewarding. The last two games in Italy for Steaua ended as goalless draws.
While Napoli are unbeaten in the last 6 home games in European tournaments, the team has recorded two goalless draws in the last two games. On top of that in the 3 home games this year, the team has scored just once. Steaua are without a win in six European away games, three draws and three defeats, scoring 2 goals in 2 games this year.
Since both teams have trouble scoring Napoli at home, Steaua away the Under 2.5 Goals might be your choice priced at 2.00. However if we judge by their last meeting ending 3:3 then the Over 2.5 Goals will be good choice here.
I expect Napoli to be looking for a goal from the first minute here, as well as Steaua who are aware that it’s hard to be aiming for a 0:0 draw game by just defending. An early goal from either team will force the opponent to play very offensively aiming to equalize which should transform the match into a dynamic game with lots of goals.
Recommended Bet:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Bet365)
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