Newcastle meets hurt Chelsea on Saturday.

Tip #1: Back this match to end Under 2.5 goals at 17/20 with bet365

Tip #2: Back Newcastle to win this match at 14/5 with bet365

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Match Preview

Newcastle

Newcastle continues to do well in Premier League, after a draw on Old Trafford last weekend against Manchester United. The team is current on the forth spot with 26 points, recording just a single loss against Manchester City, away from home. The Magpies are still unbeaten at home, winning 4 and drawing 2 of the 6 games played on St. James’ Park. Newcastle has not lost any games against teams from London this season, drawing the games against Arsenal, Tottenham and QPR and winning over Fulham. Despite the fact that Newcastle got rid of some big names in the team like Joey Barton and Andy Carrol, the solid defense makes quite a difference. Newcastle might have scored only 19 goals which is the lowest among the top 5 teams in the table so far, but has conceded only 12 which is the lowest, together with Liverpool and Manchester City.

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Chelsea

Chelsea seems to be going through some sort of transition, due to the change of managers. Until now, Chelsea used to play a very physical football, not the prettiest, but it got them where they wanted to. With Villas-Boas, things changed and the quality of football that Chelsea gives us now is much more enjoyable to watch. However the results for now are unsatisfying, 5th place in the table with 25 points in 13 games and 3 losses in the past 4 games in all competitions. The team still needs playtime to adjust to the new style, the question is can the Blues stay in top 4 this year and will Villas-Boas get a chance to continue to lead the team.

Prediction

Statistics show’s that both teams have somewhat equal success on St. James’ Park:

28/11/2010 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 1:1
04/04/2009 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:2
05/05/2008 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:2
22/04/2007 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:0
20/12/2006 Carling Cup Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:1
07/05/2006 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 1:0
15/05/2005 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 1:1
20/02/2005 FA Cup Newcastle vs. Chelsea 1:0
10/11/2004 Carling Cup Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:0
0:2 (OT)
25/04/2004 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 2:1
01/03/2003 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 2:1
29/12/2001 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 1:2
09/09/2000 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:0
04/03/2000 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:1
09/01/1999 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 0:1
02/05/1998 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 3:1
16/04/1997 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 3:1
24/09/1995 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 2:0
10/09/1994 Premier League Newcastle vs. Chelsea 4:2

Three of the last five games here ended, with a Chelsea victory. The odds for Chelsea seem rewarding enough priced at 1/1 with bet365. However Newcastle, judging by their performance lately, seems the favorite to me. The bookmakers have cut their price, but 14/5 seems quite the valuable bet here. Back Newcastle to grab the victory in this match at 14/5 with bet365.

The last nine games here ended Under 2.5 goals. Judging on the amount of goals scored and conceded by Newcastle, it’s safe to go with end result Under 2.5 goals priced at 17/20 with bet365.

An interesting game is expected as this seems like the battle for the 4th spot at the moment.

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