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QPR meets Derby in the last game for this round in the Championship. QPR has never beaten Derby on their own stadium, a fact that’s very odd

QPR are first at the moment, with 82 points in 41 games, a home record of W14 D5 L1, scoring 41 goals and conceding 12 in those games. The team has 7 points lead in front of the second Cardiff, with a game less. QPR has won 7 and drawn 2 of the last 9 home games. The last time they lost a game here was on December 12th 2010 against the team of Watford with 1:3.

Derby County are on the 19th spot, with 48 points in 41 games, away record of W5 D5 L10, scoring 20 goals and conceding 34 in those games. Derby has lost 4, won 2 and drawn 3 of the last 9 away games. The team is 8 points away from the danger zone, with 4 rounds left and will most likely stay in the Championship for next season as well. Derby beat the promotion-chasing Leeds in the last round at home and are hoping to do the same against QPR.

If QPR wins the game tonight they will be only a point away from an automatic promotion, as they would gain an 11 points difference from the third.

Derby on the other hand has been always the “black sheep” for QPR judging on the statistics from the past years:

23/03/2010 QPR vs. Derby 1:1
27/09/2008 QPR vs. Derby 0:2
17/10/2006 QPR vs. Derby 1:2
15/04/2006 QPR vs. Derby 1:1
21/08/2004 QPR vs. Derby 0:2

That’s right, no victories here for QPR in the past 5 home games since 2004. The first game this season has ended 2:2, and seems like Derby has the advantage here at least on paper.

While the victory for QPR looks logical priced at 1.44, I am willing to risk here and go with X2 (Draw or Derby).

I am solely relying on the statistics and the fact that Derby was able to beat Leeds the last round and a pumped up from that game. Stephen Pearson, Scotland ­international, midfielder in Derby says they(Derby) are a hard team to play against, and are going to spoil QPR’s fun (being promoted and everything). My prediction Draw or Derby. Good luck betting.

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