A Madrid derby, this time in the quarter finals of Copa del rey, where Real Madrid will face Atletico Madrid.
Few days ago, Real Madrid faced Villarreal and while Villarreal lead twice by a goal, Ronaldo was able to equalize twice until the 45th minute as well. Second half was a different story, and Ronaldo scored a 3rd goal, and Kaka put an end to the game with a 4th goal.
Currently Real are taking the 2nd spot with 47 points in 18 games, holding a record of W15 D2 L1. We all know that the team has been dominating for the most part against all teams but Barcelona, this season.
Atletico faced Hercules Monday night, and got blown away after the first half ended 4:0. The final result was 4:1 but that didn’t really help much. The team is taking the 6th spot with 27 points in 18 games, record of W8 D3 L7.
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The previous meeting here around 2 months ago ended 2:0 for Real Madrid. In 16 games against Atletico on Bernabeu, Real’s record reads W10 D5 L1. Last victory for Atletico Madrid here has been back in 1999.
Exactly 8 games have ended Under 2.5 Goals, and 8 have ended Over 2.5 Goals. While the odds for Over 2.5 Goals are barely worth mentioning at 1.44 the Under 2.5 Goals odds are great at 2.70.
Since this round is decided over 2 legs, Atletico Madrid would be happy on a draw or even a minimal loss. Since this is a derby an away victory isn’t impossible but very unlikely to happen. Odds for an away victory priced at 10.00, while the draw is at 5.25.
Personally I would back Real here on an asian handicap. The team has scored at least 5 goals in the past 2 home games for Copa del rey, while Atletico barely made it past Espanyol.
Recommended Bet:
Real Madrid – 1.5 @ 1.75 (Bet365)
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