Real Madrid meets Tottenham on Bernabeu, in the first leg of the quarter finals for Champions League on Tuesday.
History was changed this Saturday, when Real Madrid lost at home against Gijon with 0:1, a victory that made the difference between Real and Barcelona 8 points and practically killed Madrid’s chances for a title this year. The loss also put a stop to Mourinho’s era, of 9 years unbeaten at home. Mourinho did not lose than 150 home games with 4 clubs (Porto, Chelsea, Inter and Real Madrid) an admirable achievement that perhaps no coach can show off with.
Against English teams, Real Madrid has a horrible statistics, losing 4 and drawing 1 of the last 5 home games. The team has also failed to score in the last 4 of those games. If that’s not enough, key players will be missing from the squad. According to the media, Ronaldo, Benzema and Marcello will miss out the game, and Real will come out with the same start up line as against Gijon. If that is indeed true, trouble comes ahead, since the fire power with Adebayor and Higuain wasn’t good enough. Too many injuries have occurred to both players and they need a “getting back in shape” period.
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Tottenham is a newcomer to the Champions League, and has a chance to play in front of a home crowd in London if they reach the final. The team missed their chance to get closer to the 4th spot, when they tied their Premier League game on Saturday against Wigan. Tottenham has kept 2 clean sheets in the last 16 games before the game on Saturday, which obviously shows defense problems, something that has to be looked with caution when you go out against a team like Real Madrid.
Tottenham’s secret weapon is called Peter Crouch as he has scored 7 goals in his last 8 starts in Europe, and it’s very likely for the tall striker to show up in this game. Against Spanish teams, Tottenham has won only one of the last 8 meetings back in 1963 against Atletico Madrid.
While Real Madrid will be missing 3 key players, it makes me think that it’s just another trick from Mourinho’s bag of tricks. In his interview before the game, the Special One confirmed that he would be happy even on a 0:0 making it a perfect result after the first leg. That being said, I think that unfortunately for us the fans this game will lack of goals. The odds for a draw are very good here, priced at 4.50, although the favorite for the game remains the host Madrid.
I think it will be a good choice if we skipped the 1 X 2 odds here and went for something like Under/Over goals. The odds for Under 1.5 Goals are at 4.00 and if we assume that Mourinho risks it and goes for that 0:0, you will be very much rewarded here. I will go on the safe side here and my prediction would bet Under 2.5 Goals. Good luck betting.
Recommended Bet:
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.08 
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