Slovenia and Italy meet in a game from the Euro 2012 Qualifications on Friday.
Italy are currently first with 10 points, record of W3 D1 L0, while Slovenia are taking the second place with 7 points record of W2 D1 L1.
Both Slovenia and Italy, were in WC2010, but both teams did not make it out of the group stage.
Slovenia lost their first game in the group, a home game against Northern Ireland with 0:1, but was able to record two victories and a draw afterward. The draw came against Serbia as a visitor, while the victories were against relatively easy opponents, Estonia and Faroe Islands. An interesting fact is that Slovenia’s record against Italy here reads W1 D1 L0.
Italy, is the current leader in the group with 10 points. The team has a victory and a draw away from home, a 2:1 against Estonia and a 0:0 against Northern Ireland. The team has got 3 points from the forfeit game against Serbia, sending them right to the top. The last time Italy was here in an Euro qualification was back in 1994, when the game ended draw. However Italy came here back in 2004 for a World Cup qualification, a game lost with 0:1.
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Italy has yet to win a game against Slovenia as a visitor. The odds in this game are quite high and rewarding if you decide they can pull it off, 2.20 for the away victory.
However Italy has drawn the last two friendly games they have played, so perhaps the draw looks a lot more possible than the away victory.
All four games between both teams have ended Under 2.5 Goals, making this perhaps the safest bet, although the odds aren’t that great. I would back the draw in this game as I think this is the logical outcome of this game and favors both teams. However since that bet is a bit unsafe, I recommend you stick with the Under 2.5 Goals one and combine it with few other games for decent profit.
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