Wales meets their neighbor England in a game from the Euro 2012 qualifiers on Saturday.
At this point Wales has still 0 points and their real chances to qualify are minimal to none. The team lost all of its 3 meetings, a 0:1 against Montenegro as a visitor, a 0:1 against Bulgaria as a host and a 1:4 against Switzerland as a visitor. The previous time Wales and England met here for a qualification was back in 2005 for a World Cup qualification match, a game that ended 0:1 in favor of England. The other game dates 21/10/1967 where England has won with 3:0.
However overall both teams have met 101 times, in 48 times Wales has been the host, record of W6 D12 L30.
England comes in this game as second in the group with 3 games and 7 points. The team was able to beat Bulgaria at home with 4:0, Switzerland with 3:1, but drew against Montenegro on Wembley. However if the team wins this game on Saturday they will be able to reclaim the top spot. As you may have heard the news, John Terry is England’s captain again. Capello is trying lots of new things, trying to make the team work, because since he came along, the team hasn’t showed anything impressive.
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The latest news, say that Frank Lampard will most likely start on the bench, while Scott Parker or Gareth Barry will partner Jack Wilshere. While England won their most recent friendly game against Denmark, after losing with 0:1, Wales lost their last friendly to Ireland with 0:3.
England is the favorite in this game for obvious reasons, odds at 1.40 for the home victory and going down. I don’t think we can be looking for any kind of surprise here, since there’s a lot of pressure from the media and the fans on the English team and they would need this victory more than anything. The safe handicap here would be -1, which gives you a slight boost in the odds but a refunded wager if the game ends only with 1 goal difference. The -1.5 would be the risk taker, but your odds go up greatly.
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