Why every Football tipster should use statistical and fundamental analysis when making betting predictions

Football predictions are also called soccer predictions in the United States are not an easy job. While some twenty years ago, there was a list of great football teams, like Manchester United, Ajax, Barcelona and so on, that would always win the given game! Unless these teams played against each other it wasn’t that hard to predict the outcome of the game and bet on it.

Now days however the story seems quite different! You would see the first team in the English Premier League, play with the last in the table and loose or tie. Or you would see a team from League 2 play a team from League 1 and win by a difference of three goals. The unpredictable outcomes have made the job for the average football tipster a nightmare. Beating the bookies have become an impossible job or that’s what they say.

Desperate times call for desperate measures! In order to stand a chance as a tipster, you would have to start using every single sports betting “weapon” available. Statistical analysis have always been a powerful way for the stock brokers to beat the market. Imagine that you as a tipster is the stockbroker, and the game itself and the outcome are the market. Based on you analysis you would be able to predict the outcome of the game with a high certainty, good enough to bet on.

So what exactly is Statistical Analysis? The simplest definition is “the process of examine data to draw conclusions”. Basically what every football tipster would want to do is look over the past 15-20 matches of the given teams, analyze the win/loose ratio, take in consideration who’s host and who’s guest,look over the current standings of the team and draw the line to conclude.

What would the above steps give to the average football tipster? First they will give you the probability that each team has for a win. Second you will find out the current shape of the team and whether they have trouble at home or away. Third you would see if either team desperately needs points for a certain goal like staying out of the red zone, or qualify for different tournaments.

Now pay close attention to the following. Statistics do not guarantee you a correct football pick every time, but rather a positive prediction ratio over a long period of time. Recently we witnessed in the English Premier League few statistics that haven’t been broken in 26 years and they did! You followed the statistical analysis for these 26 years and always picked the team that it favored you would have lost, but would that really matter if for 26 years you have been getting the game right? Of course not!

Now to make your tipster weapon even deadlier for the bookmakers throw in some Fundamental Analysis! That is information like sports news, information on injured players, information on weather and so on. Say you used your statistical analysis and you can’t make up your mind, but then you read the local football sports news that one of the team is missing two key players, this will definitely help you make up your mind.

Once you have combined the Statistical and Fundamental analysis, you would notice a dramatic increase of your “being correct” percentage. Please know that high “being correct” ratio does not mean high profit. A tipster always plays the high odds (at least 3) and has been correct around 40% of the time, will make more money that a tipster that always plays the low odds (1.3 – 1.5) and has been correct 70% of the time.

So whether you are a casual gambler, a novice or experienced tipster, or a professional bettor, it always good to rely on the good old analysis!

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1. Football Betting for Dummies Part 4 – Creating Pain Free Analysis
2. What Stops Me From Making A Living With Sports Betting
3. A Great Tool You Can Use While Making Your Football Predictions
4. Sports Betting Myth Busters – A Guide For Every Sports Betting Fan